Crankshaw Sports Stats


1978 African Cup of Nations Final Ratings

Ratings based on 1978 African Cup of Nations Finals (host Ghana)



1978 Champions: Ghana

Field Strength = 97.83

COUNTRYMPGFGAINITOPPRATING
Ghana 592101.4097.7099.10
Uganda 597100.4097.7898.18
Nigeria 465100.2597.8898.13
Zambia 332100.3397.7898.11
Tunisia 443100.2597.7497.99
Morocco 32499.3397.6396.96
Congo 31499.0097.7196.71
Upper Volta 32997.6798.4596.11


Methodology for predictor ratings developed in SAS. Methodology is as follows:

               i. Calculate an intial rating: (GF-GA)/MP +100 for every team
               ii. Calculate the mean intial ratings for all opponents as intial
                   strength of schedule.
               iii. Adjust initial rating of every team by initial strength of schedule.
               iv. Iterate through steps ii. and iii. until convergence or ten 
                   iterations (which ever comes first) to calculate final strength of schedule (variable OPP above).
               v. Adjust initial rating by final strength of schedule (using formula: Rating = Initial Rating + [Final Strength of Schedule - 100])

A Rating system for International and Club Football Teams