Crankshaw Sports Stats


1982 African Cup of Nations Qualification Ratings

Ratings based on 1982 African Cup of Nations Qualification

Field Strength = 97.82

COUNTRYMPGFGAINITOPPRATING
Egypt 273102.0097.8299.82
Cameroon 4125101.7597.7499.49
Zambia 462101.0098.4099.40
Morocco 4104101.5097.8799.37
Algeria 4135102.0097.3299.32
Ghana 464100.5098.2998.79
Senegal 442100.5097.8298.32
Tunisia 210100.5097.8298.32
Mauritania 22399.5098.8298.32
Angola 211100.0098.2298.22
Zimbabwe 42499.5098.6898.18
Mauritius 211100.0097.9997.99
Mozambique 4118100.7597.1597.90
Zaire 488100.0097.8397.83
Ethiopia 444100.0097.8297.82
Guinea 233100.0097.8297.82
Rwanda 211100.0097.8297.82
Congo 42399.7598.0397.78
Mali 477100.0097.6597.65
Malawi 21299.5097.8597.35
Madagascar 44799.2597.5796.82
Sierra Leone 21498.5097.8296.32
Togo 22698.0098.3296.32
Gambia 211100.0095.9995.99
Kenya 23798.0097.8295.82
Liberia 42998.2597.2395.48
Lesotho 23798.0097.3695.36
Upper Volta 21896.5098.1594.65


Methodology for predictor ratings developed in SAS. Methodology is as follows:

               i. Calculate an intial rating: (GF-GA)/MP +100 for every team
               ii. Calculate the mean intial ratings for all opponents as intial
                   strength of schedule.
               iii. Adjust initial rating of every team by initial strength of schedule.
               iv. Iterate through steps ii. and iii. until convergence or ten 
                   iterations (which ever comes first) to calculate final strength of schedule (variable OPP above).
               v. Adjust initial rating by final strength of schedule (using formula: Rating = Initial Rating + [Final Strength of Schedule - 100])

A Rating system for International and Club Football Teams