Crankshaw Sports Stats

2013 Gold Cup Group Stage Team Model Fits
Ratings based on 2013 Gold Cup Finals (host USA)
Tournament to be played from July 7 to July 28, 2013
Ratings after Group Stage complete
Model Fits (sorted by model error)
| FAVORITE | RATING | ADV | MFIT | ACTUAL | UNDERDOG | RATING | MFIT | ACTUAL | ERROR |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 2 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.13 |
| Panama | 98.96 | 1.00 | 1.54 | 1 | Martinique | 97.96 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.57 |
| USA | 99.95 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1 | Costa Rica | 98.45 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.73 |
| Martinique | 97.96 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.50 | 1.29 | 2 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.79 | 0 | 1.13 |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Panama | 98.96 | 0.91 | 2 | 1.21 |
| USA | 99.95 | 4.75 | 5.05 | 6 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 1 | 1.39 |
| USA | 99.95 | 2.75 | 3.05 | 4 | Cuba | 97.20 | 0.30 | 1 | 1.39 |
| El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 2 | Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 1.04 | 2 | 1.86 |
| Costa Rica | 98.45 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 3 | Cuba | 97.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.19 |
| Panama | 98.96 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 0 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.49 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 0 | Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 0.91 | 2 | 2.53 |
| Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 0 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.91 | 2 | 2.53 |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 3 | Martinique | 97.96 | 0.30 | 1 | 2.59 |
| Cuba | 97.20 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 4 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.98 |
| Costa Rica | 98.45 | 3.25 | 3.55 | 1 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 6.59 |
Model Fits (sorted by model advantage)
| FAVORITE | RATING | ADV | MFIT | ACTUAL | UNDERDOG | RATING | MFIT | ACTUAL | ERROR |
| USA | 99.95 | 4.75 | 5.05 | 6 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 1 | 1.39 |
| Costa Rica | 98.45 | 3.25 | 3.55 | 1 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 6.59 |
| USA | 99.95 | 2.75 | 3.05 | 4 | Cuba | 97.20 | 0.30 | 1 | 1.39 |
| Cuba | 97.20 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 4 | Belize | 95.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.98 |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 2 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.13 |
| USA | 99.95 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1 | Costa Rica | 98.45 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.73 |
| Costa Rica | 98.45 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 3 | Cuba | 97.20 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.19 |
| Panama | 98.96 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 0 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.30 | 0 | 2.49 |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 1.25 | 1.55 | 3 | Martinique | 97.96 | 0.30 | 1 | 2.59 |
| Panama | 98.96 | 1.00 | 1.54 | 1 | Martinique | 97.96 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.57 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.50 | 1.29 | 2 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.79 | 0 | 1.13 |
| Martinique | 97.96 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Canada | 97.71 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.85 |
| Mexico | 99.21 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 1 | Panama | 98.96 | 0.91 | 2 | 1.21 |
| Honduras | 98.42 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 0 | Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 0.91 | 2 | 2.53 |
| Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 0.25 | 1.16 | 0 | Haiti | 97.92 | 0.91 | 2 | 2.53 |
| El Salvador | 98.17 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 2 | Trinidad & Tobago | 98.17 | 1.04 | 2 | 1.86 |