Crankshaw Sports Stats

1978 CAF World Cup Qualification Ratings

Ratings based on 1978 CAF World Cup Qualification

Field Strength = 97.45

COUNTRY	CONFEDERATION	MP	GF	GA	INIT	OPP	RATING
Morocco	CAF	2	2	2	100.00	99.07	99.07
Tunisia	CAF	10	15	9	100.60	98.46	99.06
Nigeria	CAF	8	17	8	101.13	97.94	99.06
Guinea	CAF	7	11	7	100.57	97.87	98.44
Egypt	CAF	10	15	12	100.30	97.72	98.02
Algeria	CAF	4	2	3	99.75	98.23	97.98
Ghana	CAF	3	3	5	99.33	98.29	97.62
Kenya	CAF	2	0	1	99.50	98.11	97.61
Libya	CAF	2	0	1	99.50	97.90	97.40
Ivory Coast	CAF	6	11	10	100.17	97.23	97.39
Zambia	CAF	6	9	5	100.67	96.55	97.22
Sierra Leone	CAF	4	8	9	99.75	97.25	97.00
Togo	CAF	4	3	5	99.50	97.23	96.73
Upper Volta	CAF	4	4	4	100.00	96.62	96.62
Uganda	CAF	2	3	4	99.50	97.04	96.54
Senegal	CAF	2	1	2	99.50	96.87	96.37
Congo	CAF	4	7	9	99.50	96.62	96.12
Ethiopia	CAF	2	1	5	98.00	98.11	96.11
Cameroon	CAF	2	3	4	99.50	96.10	95.60
Mauretania	CAF	2	1	3	99.00	96.58	95.58
Niger	CAF	2	3	6	98.50	97.06	95.56
Malawi	CAF	2	0	5	97.50	97.04	94.54

Methodology for predictor ratings developed in SAS. Methodology is as follows:

               i. Calculate an intial rating: (GF-GA)/MP +100 for every team
               ii. Calculate the mean intial ratings for all opponents as intial
                   strength of schedule.
               iii. Adjust initial rating of every team by initial strength of schedule.
               iv. Iterate through steps ii. and iii. until convergence or ten 
                   iterations (which ever comes first) to calculate final strength of schedule (variable OPP above).
               v. Adjust initial rating by final strength of schedule (using formula: Rating = Initial Rating + [Final Strength of Schedule - 100])
               vi. Adjust final rating by World Cup Final performance by Confederation

Crankshaw Sports Stats

1978 CAF World Cup Qualification Ratings

Ratings based on 1978 CAF World Cup Qualification

Field Strength = 97.45

A Rating system for International and Club Football Teams